Sienna Poll Finds Cuomo Well in Front of Astorino Among Potential Voters
A new Siena Research Institute poll yielded the same result: Gov. Andrew Cuomo holds a large advantage over Republican gubernatorial candidate Rob Astorino.
The poll released Monday by Siena College found Cuomo, a Democrat, leads Astorino by a 60 to 23 percent margin. Cuomo's 37-point lead is an increase of one point from June, when Cuomo topped Astorino in the Siena poll by 36 points.
Siena pollster Steve Greenberg said Astorino, who is in his second term as Westchester County executive, has a "gigantic hole to climb out of" just to make it a competitive race against Cuomo.
"Cuomo currently has the support of 80 percent of Democrats, 56 percent of independents and 32 percent of Republicans," Greenberg said. "Cuomo's lead among independents is larger than the lead Astorino has among Republicans."
Cuomo also holds big leads in three geographic areas — New York City, downstate suburbs and upstate. He holds a 76-point lead over Astorino among New York City voters. Among downstate suburban voters and upstaters, Cuomo's leads are 29 points and 15 points, respectively.
A key problem for Astorino is that most voters surveyed don't know him. He has a 20 percent favorable rating, but most voters — 61 percent — said they don't know or have no opinion of him.
"Astorino has failed to become significantly more known to voters or to put a dent in the Cuomo armor in the last six months," Greenberg said. "He has much to do and not much time to do it in."
Another challenge for Astorino: A majority of voters said, if the election were held today, they would re-elect Cuomo.
According to the poll, 54 percent of voters said they would vote to re-elect the incumbent Democrat, while 38 percent prefer someone else. Among specific demographic groups, 68 percent of Democrats, 31 percent of Republicans and 55 percent of independents said they would support Cuomo in the race for governor.
While Cuomo and Astorino are the two major party candidates in the race, there is one minor party challenger who was included in Siena's poll.
Green Party candidate Howie Hawkins, a Syracuse resident who first ran for governor in 2010, entered the race in April. In the poll released Monday, six percent of voters said they would vote for Hawkins, up from four percent in last month's poll.
The survey of 774 likely New York voters was conducted from July 13-16. The poll's margin of error is plus or minus 3.5 percent.